Saturday, 12 October 2019

XR's new solutition to world government sounds like it might be a bit of a lottery...



It’s very easy to laugh at XR but perhaps we should also consider their demands… one of their demands is for a People’s Assembly.  But what does that actually mean?  Well, it’s not simple…

“People’s assemblies are not to be confused with citizens’ assemblies, in which randomly chosen citizens are put through a process of learning by a wide range of experts leading to an in depth knowledge and perspective about a specific issue before voting on it.”

So begins XR’s 24 page pamphlet on how to build a People’s Assembly.  XR are not very happy with capitalism and the more cynical reader might wonder if the coming climate cataclysm is merely a convenient cloak to mask their deeper aims of dismantling parliamentary democracy.    

To be fair it remains unclear exactly whether these People’s Assemblies are seen as a compliment to Parliamentary Democracy or a direct replacement for it.  However, one could make an argument that as an organisation with the stated aim of bringing down Parliamentary Democracy XR should be a proscribed organisation.   Its statement that…

Government must create and be led by the decisions of a Citizens’ Assembly on climate and ecological justice -The third demand of Extinction Rebellion

…sounds very like XR just doesn’t believe in Parliamentary Democracy.  Then again neither does the government so maybe they're just going with the flow... 



Then again a page ago they told us that they wanted things to be run by Citizen’s Assemblies not People’s Assemblies …but they now appear to use the phrases interchangeably…?

However, without getting too side-tracked by semantics … let us look at how this People’s Assembly is supposed to work…  Firstly how are these assemblies supposed to be selected?  Well, sortition… 



....that is participants would be selected by lottery.  But what if someone won but didn’t want the job?  Would they be forced to take on the position like with jury service…?  We don’t know.   Of course there would have to be experts to advise the randomly selected plebs.  Sir Humphrey would be pleased.  

But would politicians who were selected and therefore didn't have to worry about being re-elected really be that nice...?  Maybe XR really believe that sortition will end political factionalism – a recent article I discovered on the Huffandpuffandpost seemed to suggest this … 
....but just as vested interests can combine to pervert representative democracy so I’m sure that they’ll one day combine to pervert sortition?  


Doubtless XR don't see it this way and I'm just an old cynic and when we all return to the land it will all be sorted out and we won’t end up with just another Khmer Rouge but...

Asked questions on a recent BBC3 documentary about whether his organisation is preying on young impressionable people Roger Hallam who would appear to be one of their leaders claimed that it is a democratic organisation … not a sortition organisation then?   Make up your mind!

The XR guide squares this circle by explaining that:

“People’s Assemblies are also part of the deep adaptation that communities will have to go through in order to face together the growing impact of climate and biodiversity breakdown. As societal structures collapse, we are going to have to reclaim power for our communities and these forms of participatory democracy will become essential to the way we organise.”

However, if the assemblies arise organically from their communities that’s not sortition, is it?  Actually its feudalism...?

The process of the assemblies is described in hilarious detail.  


“Effective assemblies achieve radical inclusivity, where the emphasis on all being heard and valued equally means no voices are dominating and the collective wisdom of the assembly can be reached.”

So it doesn’t sound like there’ll be much in the way of debate if all ideas are going to be equally valued.  Sadly not all ideas are of equal value.  As Socrates used to say during time out from trying to explain to the Athenians why sortition is nonsense...  For example I had an idea once to buy a tin of Dynamite Hot Chili-con-Carne thinking it can’t be much hotter than the ordinary stuff.   Indeed the document goes on to tell us…


“Assemblies are not an arena for intellectual jousting or point scoring but a place that recognises that no one person or group holds all the answers and that through the wisdom of the crowds we achieve powerful intelligence about the core issues being discussed.”

How scientific.  Fortunately there will be “facilitators” to guide the proletariat through this process.
“It is essential that the facilitators and Assembly team enable this trust through sticking to the agreed process and ensuring that everyone follows the facilitators”

The meetings are then to be organised using a series of hand gestures.



Pointing - When someone in the group wants to say something they put their finger up and wait for the facilitator to let them have their turn in speaking. It is vital that people do not talk over anyone else and waits their turn.  If some people put their finger up to speak and have not yet said anything while others have spoken a lot, then the facilitator gives that person priority over the ‘stack’  (the queue or order of speakers based on the order they raised  their finger to speak). 



Wavy Hands (I Agree) - If someone says something that you agree with, it is important to give the ‘wavy hands’ signal of approval.



Speak up - If you can’t hear someone ask them to raise their voice by raising and lowering your hands, palms open and facing up.



Clarification - If someone says something that is unclear, people will hold out their hand in a ‘C’ shape as the ‘clarification’ signal. The Facilitator will then pause the discussion until the Clarification is made.



Direct (or Information) Point - If someone says something, and another person has directly relevant information to add, that person makes the ‘direct point’ hand signal and the facilitator will let them provide that relevant information immediately after the person has finished their point.



Technical point - If someone has information that is immediately relevant to the well being of the entire group, they make a ‘technical point’ signal by making a ‘T’ shape with their hands.



Round Up - Facilitators need to ensure that no one speaks for more than 2 minutes. If someone is nearing the 2 minutes the facilitator makes the ‘Round up’ hand signal by making a circular motion with their hands.  This must be done sensitively but firmly.

So there you are … everyone will only have 2 minutes to say what they have to say in – like a game show…  There are one or two hand gestures / interventions missing – for example for dissent.


Can I suggest the closed fist with extended middle finger – If someone thinks someone is very wrong?  

In case that’s too simple for you here’s a flow chart…
  
Looking forward into further detail I find the decision making assemblies of the future are now to resemble open mic gigs : 

“Ideally ask for a woman to speak first (It has been shown that this will greatly increase the level of engagement of female participants. The rate of engagement and uptake for males isn’t affected in the same way), and allow as much dead air as is necessary for people to build up the courage to come and talk.   

Be strict with timing but ensure that people speaking are supported and made completely safe in their sharing. Ideally work with two facilitators so that one facilitator ‘guards’ mic and keeps stack, whilst one sits in front of speaker with timer and gives ‘round up’ hand signal as they approach 2 mins.”

So are open mic gigs the saviour of the planet and better than democracy?  I think – to steal a phrase from John Rentoul – I, as an ex-open mic promoter, can categorically state that this is a question to which the answer is “No”.  On the other hand at least it's one more open mic gig in London that's not a bringer...

This manual from which I quote was constructed with the help of activists from 15M, Stop the G8, the Fearless Cities global municipalism movement and majority world activists from Ghana and Senegal.  Because, of course, basically Extinction Rebellion is an old fashioned Marxist project and the reason it wants to fall back on old failed ideas like sortition is because it can’t achieve its aims via the ballot box.  If it has aims.  Asked by BBC3 what solutions he has to the climate change crisis Roger Hallam said “that’s not our job”?

So what is their job?  

One suspects old fashioned Communist Revolution...

Monday, 7 October 2019

Ode to XR

If you go down in the town today
You're sure of a big surprise
If you go down in the town today
You'd better go in disguise!
For every twit that ever there was
Will gather there for certain because
today's the day the Extinction have their Rebellion!

Rebellion time for protesters
The little warriors are having
A lovely time today
Watch them make us all aware
the world will end very angrily

See them spraying paint about
They love to paint and shout
They always have lots of cares
At six o'clock their Mommies and Daddies
Will see them on the news
Because they rather upset PC Plod

Ecofriends who know they are good
Are sure of a treat today
There's lots of banners to wave about
And wonderful games to play
On our TVs where everyone sees
They'll get arrested wherever they please
Cause that's the way the
Extinction have their Rebellion!

Extinction time for Everyone
The little doomsayers are having
A lovely time today
Watch them on your television
See them glued to trains to have their say
See them spraying paint about
They love to protest and shout
They always have lots of cares

At six o'clock their Mommies and Daddies
Will see them on the news
Because they rather upset the Government...



I can't even be bothered to explain why this is a bad idea...



Dear John,...

Dear John,...

By the time you aren't PM we'll be gone.

Life goes on, remain or gone.

Who will get an extension....?  Dear John.

Since we've sung EU's last song. Dear John.

Since we've sung EU's last song. Poor John.

Saturday, 5 October 2019

The Waddon Triangle...

... the Bermuda triangle is a place where things mysteriously disappear.  The Waddon Triangle between the station And Poundland is the place where all those things reappear again...







Wednesday, 2 October 2019

Star Wobbles - A New Hope?



Recently I have been corresponding on Facebook with the disciples of St Greta of Thunburg.   You don’t have to be too bright to realise that St Greta is promoted rather assiduously by someone or some people somewhere as it is unlikely that a 16 year old did just start a global movement with only a piece of cardboard.  But let’s not go into that … We Don’t Have Time

Her claim that the climate apocalypse is coming may well be true but I always find it interesting how few people are interested in the more pressing reality … that the oil is running out.  Here Dr Colin Campbell explains why for non-petrophysicists …


My cynicism as to the effectiveness of her campaign was not very welcome but really one only needs to look at this graph to see that whatever words have been produced in the past fossil fuel consumption seems to continue to rise year on year and all the environmental lobby can claim as a result of their protests is that maybe if they weren’t there this graph may have gone up faster…




When this is pointed out apostles divide into several camps.  Well, at least she’s doing something.  You’re doing nothing.  You’re a “triggered” misogynist.  She’s a child – Well, I left school at 16 and so I just feel “so what?” about that…



Somewhat harder to divine is how she or her followers actually intend to cut carbon emissions.  There is a reason the graph for fossil fuel useage goes up and up and it’s not just capitalism.  The burning of fossil fuels since the mid 19th century provided energy and technology for an exponential world population growth…  


By now you should have an idea that even leaving aside the chances of us all dying from rising sea levels the current situation is unsustainable.  A massive cut in fossil fuel usage is necessary purely on the grounds that there ain’t much left and this isn’t sustainable.  This will have to happen or there will be huge resource wars or… there will be huge resource wars and this will happen.  When it does …if we haven’t found a solution millions will die.  The idea that this can be ameliorated by us all making small actions like riding bikes, using public transport, not flying and returning to horse and cart is laughable.  The low carbon economy costs - so if you want to reduce carbon someone has to pay and the question St Greta's followers can't answer is who pays and how much? 


The only other solution that I can see that doesn’t end in a massive extinction event or worse – mass poverty – is for someone to produce the fusion reactor.  Naturally as soon as I suggested this some luddite started on about nuclear fission… for if anyone were to ever solve the energy crisis then St Greta and her friends just wouldn’t know what to do with themselves.  For those of you who aren’t physicists fusion is squashing hydrogen atoms together to make helium which releases energy as matter is turned into energy.  Whereas nuclear fission is breaking apart Uranium and Plutonium atoms rather randomly which produces poisonous isotopes with huge half lives…



So …given the first fusion bomb was detonated in the 50s why hasn’t the fusion reactor ever been developed?  Well, there are prototypes but the main problem is that when you get a fusion reaction going it’s very hot (Well, this is the same process that goes on in the centre of the sun) – in the region of 100,000,000C so huge magnetic containment fields are needed to hold the plasma.  This is very difficult but not an impossible dream.  We’re nowhere near where PM Boris would like to imagine/lie but … the length of time a reaction can be sustained for has massively increased from nanoseconds to almost a second.  The latest project is the ITER (costing only US$14 billion to start with) which should be online in 2035 … just about when the oil and gas and coal runs out.   So there is a tiny hope and I'm clinging to it ... don't know why as I'll probably be dead by 2035 but...


Craig Bennett from Luddites of the Earth said: “Why throw money away on tech-fix pipe dreams, at precisely the moment that onshore and offshore wind and solar are delivering better returns than ever before?”

Look at the above graphs Craig…

Not Only ... But Also... MI5

Yesterday I was unfriended by Tony Hadoke on Facebook.  I questioned his narrative in an article he was quoted in for the Guardian or somet...

Least ignored nonsense this month...