Monday, 29 July 2024

Donald Trump is a house built on sand...

Whilst much of the media still goes on like a Trump Presidency is still the most likely possibility believing that all his prosecutions have been washed away by the Supreme Court Immunity decision there is still the ticking time bomb in the background of Trump's New York conviction for falsifying business records.  The case is on hold whilst Judge Merchan reviews the impact of the Supreme Court ruling which says not only is the President immune for official acts or those adjacent to them but that his official records can't be used to prosecute him.  Under this ruling some of the evidence used to convict Trump may be invalid... But actually a very small amount as most of the events took place before he was President and it's hard to argue writing business cheques for his own private business was an official government act even if he signed them in the Oval office.  The judge is currently reading Alvin Bragg's rebuttal of Trump's lawyer's arguments with a decision scheduled from early September with sentencing still set for the 18th.  It's entirely possible Trump could still get a custodial sentence and be taken down straight away and have to run from prison.  In the event he was allowed out before the start of his sentence to appeal or set his affairs (corrupting democracy) in order it is indeed possible he could win the election and then go to prison in the 3 months between election & inauguration triggering a major constitutional crisis ... If there isn't one already... ?  Anyway, that bomb 💣 is still ticking even if the GOP can't hear it ... 

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