Thought I'd have a quick look at the updated statistics...
...and the good news is the UK is still at 3rd place ...the bad news is that the UK is at 3rd place ... and the really bad news is that the death per confirmed case ratio for the UK has risen from 12 to 15 per cent. This is probably due to the two week death reporting timelag. Also the figures have now been revised.
I have also discovered that you don't actually need to endure the Downing Street briefings anymore - all the stats are directly downloadable from the govenrment website away from the waffle...
The statistics don't actually show a drop in the infection rate as yet ...unless you offset this by taking into account that more tests are taking place.
One thing I have thought about mathematically is how the R value changes the infection rate...
...in the graph above the X axis represents each transmission from an original transmitter ... 1,2,3,4,5 ...are the first, second, third, forth, fifth transmissions of the virus from 1 person to the next person.
An R value of only 1.1 gives you 14 other infections after 29 retransmission stages
An R value of 0.9 will eventually reduce the number to infections to 0
but it will take 29 retransmission stages for this to happen...
In other words the transmission rate when R is greater than one mirrors an exponential function
but when R goes less than one the decrease conversely only appears to be a logarithmic function...?
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
The gentler sex
It always makes me laugh when people cite the Suffragettes as an example of non-violent direct action. They literally invented the letter bo...

Least ignored nonsense this month...
-
Just when you think things couldn't get more bonkers down Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu has jumped the shark and launched an unprovoked m...
-
Well, we all knew that the United States was going to take illegal unilateral action against Iran didn't we? Top hint was when Sir Jo...
-
Someone you vaguely know and trust from the TV said something that was so important it had to be removed from the internet because it neve...
-
Shopping in Sainsbury's these days is not far off visiting a police station. Before you even look at the shelves a giant TV Screen an...
-
Dear Anthony , Thank you for RSVPing to 💭🌹Thursday Be a Councillor: Croydon (Online)🌹💭 ! Thousands of people across the country are g...
-
As the Master used to say in Doctor Who "for a lie to work it must be shrouded in truth". Therefore Jordan Peterson uses his ac...
-
It's amazing people read "The Catcher in the Rye" and the message they took from it was assassinate John Lennon or Ronald Reag...
-
Finally got round to watching Oppenheimer. Now I'm no great feminist but... Oh dear ... Someone obviously said to Christopher Nolan...
-
The grand old Duke of York He had 10000 women Some were above our age of consent But in the US it is higher so then There legally a nonc...
-
Don't know much about history Don't know much about biology Don't know much about Edward Jenner Don't know much about Louis...
No comments:
Post a Comment