Tuesday 10 September 2024

Lucy Letby and the chances of a really stupid jury

It's hard with this blog to keep up with the endless nonsense written on the internet but I was particularly impressed by this person who tried to argue that juries are unrepresentative of normal intelligence because they're selected at random... (the starter of the thread has done a runner and deleted the original post perhaps realising it's drivel)






...but, of course, IQ is a Gaussian distribution ...















...so if you believe in such things ... 12 people selected at random would most likely give you 8 people of average intelligence, 3 people of either higher or lower than normal functioning intelligence and 1 person who is either a genius or a total nincompoop.

According to this study less than 1 per cent of juries hang... and only 51.4 per cent find the defendant guilty by majority.... with a further 12.1 reaching a majority guilty verdict and 35.9 per cent acquitting...



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